Sunday 18 May 2014

Book Review: Predictably Irrational


As Mark Twain once noted about Tom Sawyer, “Tom has discovered a great law of human action namely, that in order make a man covet a thing it is only necessary to make the thing difficult to attain”. As per Dan Ariely, in his book ”Predictably Irrational”, this is exactly why Tahitian black pearls are today considered prized possessions.

Dan Ariely is a professor of Behavioural Economics at Duke University. This book is an excellent compilation of the results of his experiments on human rationality or the lack of it. While the book could serve as an excellent introduction to the field of Behavioural Economics, the stated objective of the book is to make its readers more aware of their propensity to make irrational decisions. The author’s conviction is that by understanding our predictably irrational behaviours, we can adjust for them in our decision making process and make better, more rational decisions. In short, this book aims to do for behavioural sciences what Stephen Hawking did for space science with “A Brief History of Time” to become the coffee table book on human irrationality.

The premise of the book is that while everyone (except several traditional economic theories) acknowledges that humans are not rational beings at all times, we do not fully appreciate the extent of our irrationality. In the introduction to the book, Dan promises to help us understand why we fail to stick to our diet plans when the dessert cart rolls around, why we buy things we do not need, and why honour codes reduce the incidence of cheating. By the end of the book, he achieves this and some more.

Each chapter introduces and discusses a different type of irrational behaviour. The brilliance of the author and the editors lies in the fact that a chapter starts with carefully chosen and perfectly worded questions to get us thinking about the specific irrationality that he would be discussing in that chapter. For example, he starts the chapter on ‘The Cost of Zero Cost’ by asking whether we would buy something we do not need (let’s say coffee beans for a tea drinker) if it were discounted from 50 cents to 2 cents (from Rs. 30 to Rs. 1). The answer for most people would be either ‘No’ or ‘Maybe’. Now, what if the same thing is discounted to zero and given away for free. The default answer for just about everyone would be a resounding ‘Yes’. He starts the chapter by asking why we cannot stop ourselves from accumulating things simply because we get it for free. By doing this, he gets us thinking along the lines of why we behave the way we do even before he introduces us to the experiments he has conducted in the area. He ends each chapter with his thoughts on the implications of the irrational behaviour and its applications in areas from day-to-day decision making to government policies.

What this book is not about is a simple step-by-step solution to irrational behaviour. The book does not claim to be all-encompassing in terms of human irrationality either. It aims to make us more aware of human behaviour so that the next time we plan a diet or look at the ads for an appliance we plan to purchase or plan our negotiation strategy, we take these irrationalities into account. It is an interesting read for everyone, and especially for MBA grads with exposure to both economics and organizational behaviour.

 Rating: 8/10